This article requires a subscription to view the full text. If you have a subscription you may use the login form below to view the article. Access to this article can also be purchased.
Abstract
Objectives: The purpose of this study was to elucidate the factors that correlate with unfavorable outcomes and to develop a simple validated model for assessing risk of unfavorable outcomes in patients with minor ischemic stroke.
Methods: The derivation cohort included 1,313 patients hospitalized within 72 hours after onset with an initial NIH Stroke Scale score of 0 to 3 enrolled in a prospective, multicenter, observational study. Unfavorable outcome was defined as dependency (modified Rankin Scale score of 3–5) or death at 90 days. The predictive values of factors related to unfavorable outcome were evaluated. External validation was performed in 879 patients from a single-center stroke registry.
Results: In the derivation cohort, a total of 203 patients (15%) had unfavorable outcomes. On multivariable analysis, women (odds ratio [OR] 1.95, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.30–2.94), age ≥72 years (OR 2.80, 95% CI 1.83–4.36), intra/extracranial vascular occlusive lesion (OR 2.80, 95% CI 1.82–4.28), leg weakness (OR 1.72, 95% CI 1.06–2.82), and extinction/inattention (OR 5.55, 95% CI 1.30–21.71) were independently associated with unfavorable outcome. Patients having both a vascular lesion and either leg weakness or extinction/inattention showed 4.63 (95% CI 2.23–9.33) times the risk of unfavorable outcome compared with those having neither. In the validation cohort, the risk was similar, at 3.77 (95% CI 1.64–8.37).
Conclusions: Intra- and extracranial vascular imaging, NIH Stroke Scale items such as leg weakness and extinction/inattention, and their combination, as well as female sex and advanced age, may be useful for predicting unfavorable outcomes in patients with minor stroke.
GLOSSARY
- CI=
- confidence interval;
- mRS=
- modified Rankin Scale;
- NCVC=
- National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center;
- NIHSS=
- NIH Stroke Scale;
- OR=
- odds ratio;
- rt-PA=
- recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator;
- SUMO=
- Stroke Unit Multicenter Observational
Footnotes
SUMO Study coinvestigators are listed on the Neurology® Web site at Neurology.org.
Go to Neurology.org for full disclosures. Funding information and disclosures deemed relevant by the authors, if any, are provided at the end of the article.
Supplemental data at Neurology.org
- Received November 12, 2013.
- Accepted in final form March 28, 2014.
- © 2014 American Academy of Neurology
AAN Members
We have changed the login procedure to improve access between AAN.com and the Neurology journals. If you are experiencing issues, please log out of AAN.com and clear history and cookies. (For instructions by browser, please click the instruction pages below). After clearing, choose preferred Journal and select login for AAN Members. You will be redirected to a login page where you can log in with your AAN ID number and password. When you are returned to the Journal, your name should appear at the top right of the page.
AAN Non-Member Subscribers
Purchase access
Letters: Rapid online correspondence
REQUIREMENTS
You must ensure that your Disclosures have been updated within the previous six months. Please go to our Submission Site to add or update your Disclosure information.
Your co-authors must send a completed Publishing Agreement Form to Neurology Staff (not necessary for the lead/corresponding author as the form below will suffice) before you upload your comment.
If you are responding to a comment that was written about an article you originally authored:
You (and co-authors) do not need to fill out forms or check disclosures as author forms are still valid
and apply to letter.
Submission specifications:
- Submissions must be < 200 words with < 5 references. Reference 1 must be the article on which you are commenting.
- Submissions should not have more than 5 authors. (Exception: original author replies can include all original authors of the article)
- Submit only on articles published within 6 months of issue date.
- Do not be redundant. Read any comments already posted on the article prior to submission.
- Submitted comments are subject to editing and editor review prior to posting.
