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September 08, 2020; 95 (10) Article

Relationship between blood pressure and outcome changes over time in acute ischemic stroke

Ji-Ah Shin, Keon-Joo Lee, Ji Sung Lee, View ORCID ProfileJihoon Kang, View ORCID ProfileBeom Joon Kim, Moon-Ku Han, Jun Yup Kim, Myung Suk Jang, Mi Hwa Yang, Juneyoung Lee, Philip B. Gorelick, View ORCID ProfileHee-Joon Bae
First published July 8, 2020, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1212/WNL.0000000000010203
Ji-Ah Shin
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
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Keon-Joo Lee
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
MD
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Ji Sung Lee
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
PhD
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Jihoon Kang
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
MD
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Beom Joon Kim
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
MD
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Moon-Ku Han
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
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Jun Yup Kim
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
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Myung Suk Jang
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
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Mi Hwa Yang
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
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Juneyoung Lee
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
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Philip B. Gorelick
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
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Hee-Joon Bae
From the Seoul National University College of Medicine (J.-A.S.); Department of Neurology, Cerebrovascular Center (K.-J.L., J.K., B.J.K., M.-K.H., J.Y.K., M.S.J., M.H.Y., H.-J.B.), Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam; Clinical Research Center (J.S.L.), Asan Medical Center, Seoul; Department of Biostatistics (J.L.), Korea University, Seoul; and Davee Department of Neurology (P.B.G.), Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, IL.
MD, PhD
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Citation
Relationship between blood pressure and outcome changes over time in acute ischemic stroke
Ji-Ah Shin, Keon-Joo Lee, Ji Sung Lee, Jihoon Kang, Beom Joon Kim, Moon-Ku Han, Jun Yup Kim, Myung Suk Jang, Mi Hwa Yang, Juneyoung Lee, Philip B. Gorelick, Hee-Joon Bae
Neurology Sep 2020, 95 (10) e1362-e1371; DOI: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000010203

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Abstract

Objective To evaluate whether the relationship between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and stroke outcome varies during the acute stage of ischemic stroke as a function of the elapsed time after stroke onset.

Methods Patients who were hospitalized due to ischemic stroke within 6 hours of onset were retrospectively analyzed. SBP data were collected at 8 time points (1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 24, 48, and 72 hours after onset). The primary functional outcome measure was a poor outcome, defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of >2 at 3 months after stroke. Linear and quadratic models were constructed at each time point to assess relationships between SBP and outcome.

Results Of the 2,546 patients, 728 (28.6%) had a poor outcome. SBP, as either a linear or quadratic term, had a significant effect on functional outcome, except at 4 hours after onset. For the initial 2 hours after onset, SBP had nonlinear U-shaped relationships with functional outcome, and patients with SBP of approximately 165 mm Hg were the least likely to have a poor outcome. Quadratic models exhibited a significantly better model fit. For 8–24 hours postonset, SBP exhibited linear relationships with functional outcome. For 48–72 hours postonset, SBP exhibited a J-shaped relationship with functional outcome, and the predicted probability of poor outcome was the lowest in patients with SBP of approximately 125 mm Hg. These relationships were relatively consistent across various sensitivity analyses.

Conclusion This study revealed that the relationship between SBP and functional outcome may depend on elapsed time from stroke onset.

Glossary

AIC=
Akaike Information Criterion;
BMI=
body mass index;
BP=
blood pressure;
CI=
confidence interval;
EVT=
endovascular treatment;
IQR=
interquartile range;
IRB=
institutional review board;
IVT=
IV thrombolysis;
LL=
log-likelihood;
LR=
likelihood ratio;
mRS=
modified Rankin Scale;
NIHSS=
NIH Stroke Scale;
OR=
odds ratio;
SBP=
systolic blood pressure;
SRMI=
sequential regression multiple imputation;
SYSO=
symptomatic steno-occlusion of the cerebral artery;
TOAST=
Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment;
VISTA=
Virtual Stroke International Stroke Trial Archive

Footnotes

  • Go to Neurology.org/N for full disclosures. Funding information and disclosures deemed relevant by the authors, if any, are provided at the end of the article.

  • Received July 19, 2019.
  • Accepted in final form March 16, 2020.
  • © 2020 American Academy of Neurology
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